Sep 8, 2024; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (41) runs against Carolina Panthers cornerback Jaycee Horn (8) during the first half at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images The slate of games on deck for NFL Week 9 does not feature too many (any?) intriguing matchups, but that doesn’t mean bettors should take the week off. However, they may want to focus on some of the many player props on offer. With sportsbooks carrying a couple hundred per game, bettors will have plenty to choose from.
But with 13 games scheduled for Sunday, sportsbooks will have well over a couple thousand markets to choose from. So, where do you start? You start with our top 10 player props list for Week 9 of the NFL season.
NFL Week 9: Player Props
The following are our top 10 player prop picks for Week 9 of the NFL season (Sunday games). These will not be in any particular order, and the odds will be via FanDuel unless otherwise stated. However, we do suggest you line shop and make sure you get the best odds for whichever ones you choose to bet on.
Alvin Kamara, O/U 67.5 Rushing Yards at -114/-114
Alvin Kamara, O/U 15.5 rushing attempts at -120/-110 (via DraftKings)
Kamara has averaged just 10 carries per game the last three weeks with Spencer Rattler at quarterback, but we expect that to change with Derek Carr coming back to face the Panthers. In the first four games of the season (with Carr at QB), Kamara got 15, 20, 26 and 19 carries.
To take the pressure off Carr as he returns from injury, the Saints will give their multitalented running back plenty of touches. Against the worst run defense in the league (154.6 ypg allowed; 171.3 ypg allowed over their last three), he’ll probably blow past 67.5 yards in the first half.
Our Picks: OVER 67.5 rushing yards and 15.5 rush attempts
Bryce Young, O/U 18.5 Pass Completions at -135/+105
Against the Saints in Week 1, Young had 13 completions (30 attempts). In Week 2, he had 18 (26 attempts), and in his return to the starting lineup last week, he completed 24 of 37 passes. The Saints have been allowing 22.4 per week and 20 in their previous three games.
Having beaten the Panthers once already this season and hungry for another win, the Saints’ defense will take charge in this game. They’ll rattle Young from the start and not let up.
Our Pick: UNDER 18.5 completions for +105
Dak Prescott, O/U 37.5 Passing Attempts at +100/-130
The Dallas run game has been truly terrible this season, leaving the Cowboys no choice but to throw a lot. Prescott has attempted more than 37.5 passes in four of seven games this season and averages 37.4. Opponents are averaging 33.6 per game against Atlanta this season and 39 attempts per game over the last three.
Once the Falcons get out to a comfortable lead at the half, Mike McCarthy will abandon the run in the second. Dak may surpass 37.5 attempts before the fourth quarter.
Our Pick: OVER 37.5 pass attempts for Dak Prescott.
Derrick Henry, O/U 18.5 Rushing Attempts at -114/-114
Derrick Henry, O/U 86.5 Rushing Yards at +104/-135
When the Ravens review the game film for last week’s loss to the Browns, they will see one issue on offense that can be easily rectified. Henry did not touch the ball enough (11 carries), hence his lowest rushing total since Week 1.
He’s had between 15 and 24 attempts since Week 2 with more than 18.5 in three (all wins that saw him run for 100+ yards). Denver has a tough defense; teams have been averaging 26.5 this season against them for 106.4 ypg (98 ypg allowed over their last three). Jackson will take some of those carries, but after losing last week, they’ll try to get back to their bread and butter this week.
Our Pick: OVER 18.5 attempts and 86.5 rushing yards
Kyren Williams, O/U 20.5 Rush Attempts at -110/-120
Kyren Williams, O/U 91.5 Rushing Yards at -115/-115
The Rams have been leaning on their young running back the last few weeks, giving him the ball 22, 21 and 23 times, and he has not disappointed as he’s gone for 102, 76 and 97 yards. Teams have been averaging 30 rush attempts (148.3 yards) against the Seahawks this season, 33 per game over their last three (182.3 ypg allowed).
Los Angeles would be foolish not to feed Williams against a defense struggling against the run.
Our Pick(s): OVER 20.5 rushes and 91.5 yards (odds via DraftKings)
Khalil Shakir, O/U 4.5 Total Receptions at -128/-102
Khalil Shakir, O/U 51.5 Receiving Yards at -114/-114
Shakir has been the go-to guy for Josh Allen the last two weeks with 16 receptions on 17 targets for 107 and 65 yards. Allen had a relatively quiet day against the Dolphins when these teams played back in Week 2 (13-for-19 for 139 yards and one touchdown), but Shakir caught all five of his targets for 54 yards.
Our Picks: Take the OVER for both markets.
–Field Level Media
